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Oliver Buchannon
Pablo Grodnitzky

Pablo Grodnitzky is a VC and SPV fund manager focused on late Seed and Series A tech investments.

QED

Right About the Theme, Wrong About the Return

Aug 4, 2026

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6 min read

Right About the Theme, Wrong About the Return

Why the legible bet is already the crowded one — and the case for a sleeve that re-rates on execution rather than narrative

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

The Middle Is a Trap

Jun 25, 2026

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7 min read

The Middle Is a Trap

The arithmetic that quietly punishes mid-sized venture funds.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

What You Are Owed

Jun 23, 2026

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5 min read

What You Are Owed

On what a venture investor actually buys — and how quietly it can be taken away.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

The Closing Window

Jun 18, 2026

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8 min read

The Closing Window

Why speed is the one signal capital can read instantly — and why the things it should be weighed against are exactly the things that cannot be read fast.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

The Re-Rating

Jun 16, 2026

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5 min read

The Re-Rating

Why a company can become less risky and more expensive at the same time.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

The Trusted Number

Jun 11, 2026

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6 min read

The Trusted Number

Why the metric capital trusts most is only as good as an assumption no one checks — and what happens in the rare cycle when the assumption breaks.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky
The Execution Standard

Jun 9, 2026

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6 min read

The Execution Standard

Why the Angel Migration Misses the Real Shift

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

The Other Door

Jun 5, 2026

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8 min read

The Other Door

Why the most familiar fact in technology investing — that the assets go home at night — turns out to describe something almost no one priced: that venture equity was never a claim on them at all.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

Paid in Its Own Coin

Jun 3, 2026

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8 min read

Paid in Its Own Coin

Why a growth number loses its meaning when the investor, the supplier, and the reported demand are the same party — and why the question is no longer whether the growth is real, but whether anyone outside can still tell.

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky
The Leveraged Forecast

May 27, 2026

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5 min read

The Leveraged Forecast

Why Brex's $5B Exit Wasn't a Failure

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky
Manufacturing Alpha: What the Seed-to-A Gap Is Actually Measuring

May 21, 2026

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7 min read

Manufacturing Alpha: What the Seed-to-A Gap Is Actually Measuring

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky
Manufacturing Alpha: Index Exposure at Hedge Fund Pricing

May 19, 2026

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5 min read

Manufacturing Alpha: Index Exposure at Hedge Fund Pricing

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

QED

Manufacturing Alpha vs. Engineering Failure: What Medallia Reveals About When GTM Capital Actually Works

May 14, 2026

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5 min read

Manufacturing Alpha vs. Engineering Failure: What Medallia Reveals About When GTM Capital Actually Works

Pablo Grodnitzky
Pablo Grodnitzky

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